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Global crude oil market game: the complex chess game behind policy swings and strategic production increases
- July 2, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
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Recently, the global crude oil market has been impacted by two forces: the United States has been volatile in its policy toward Iran. Since the Trump administration withdrew from the Iran nuclear agreement and imposed strong sanctions, Iran’s crude oil exports have dropped sharply from a peak of 2.5 million barrels per day in 2018 to less than 500,000 barrels; although the Biden administration has sought negotiations, it has been deadlocked due to core differences. At the same time, OPEC+ has promoted its production increase plan. Since the production cuts due to the epidemic in 2020, according to the 2023 meeting plan, it plans to increase production by about 2 million barrels per day in 2024. The combination of the two has caused WTI and Brent crude oil futures prices to fluctuate between $70 and $90 per barrel, exacerbating the geopolitical game in the Middle East and affecting the reshaping of the global energy landscape.
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Khamenei claims victory over Israel, US military ‘futile’: geopolitical game intensifies, gold under pressure and shaking
- June 30, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On June 26th local time, Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei made his first televised speech after the ceasefire agreement came into effect, announcing Iran’s “comprehensive victory” in the conflict with Israel and criticizing US military intervention as “futile”. He stated that the Iranian armed forces have broken through Israel’s “advanced multi-layered defense system”, causing significant damage to its military facilities and cities, while “slapping the United States hard” by attacking the US Udeid Air Base in Qatar.
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US Middle East envoy says long-term peace agreement ‘optimistic outlook’, gold market under pressure to decline
- June 25, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
On June 24th, US Middle East envoy Witkov stated in an interview with Fox News that the US is engaging in direct and indirect contacts with Iran and that it is “time” to negotiate a comprehensive peace agreement, emphasizing his “confidence” in reaching an agreement. This statement echoes the ceasefire decision announced by Iranian President Pezehezhian on the same day – Pezehezhian stated that the 12 day conflict instigated by Israel has ended and Iran will focus on reconstruction work. On the same day, the Director General of the International Atomic Energy Agency, Grossi, confirmed that although some of Iran’s nuclear facilities were damaged, key research and power reactors were not attacked, providing a technical basis for subsequent negotiations.
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Lightning raid! Israeli army seizes air superiority in western Iran within 48 hours, leading to a surge in demand for gold as a safe haven
- June 17, 2025
- Posted by: Macro Global Markets
- Category: News
The Israeli military had previously destroyed over 40 key targets within Iran, including the Natanz nuclear facility, missile factory, and Tehran Revolutionary Guard headquarters. Iran’s air defense system was paralyzed in the first round of strikes, and Israeli fighter jets subsequently penetrated deep into Iran’s hinterland, operating continuously over Tehran for 2.5 hours, completely gaining air superiority from western Iran to the capital.
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